The red line in the chart below highlights how strong Labor's two-party preferred vote is in Melbourne compared to Victoria as a whole, consistently 15-20% higher. What are the top two to three issues in West Melbourne, and what specific actions will you take to address them if elected? Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Current preference flow: LIB 47%, GRN 35.4%, ALP 17.6%. The AEC acknowledges the Traditional Owners of country throughout Australia and recognises their continuing connection to land, waters, culture and community. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% This is all bad news for Labor because it means the Greens are rapidly catching them, while the Liberals are pulling away from them. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Also disagree with you Dan M. It is completely misleading to analyse the Labor Albert Park Margin and Caulfield Margin considering that Balaclava, St Kilda and other areas are in the Caulfield electorate (fairly progressive electorates). Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . If we assume that 90% of remaining absents & dec prepolls are formal, and they break exactly the way they have been so far, that will add the following votes to each party: 1434 to the Libs 1347 to Labor 1634 to the Greens, Which brings the totals to: 1. Agree, Dan M, also need to note that much of Prahran is also in Macnamara in all 3 seats the Libs overperformed their federal results in May and like what we saw in their elite heartland there was some recovery these seats (taking into account more right-wing minor parties this time like FFV) compared to 2018. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. Contents 1 Members 2 Election results 2.1 Elections in the 2010s 2.2 Elections in the 2000s Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the Melbourne Airport Authority, which will overseea proposed $41 million budget next year. Josh Burns came first on primaries and he can thank the collapse in the Liberal vote. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. In 2016, Labor actually suffered a primary vote swing of four percent and a two-party swing of two percent even as it nearly reduced the Coalition to minority government nationally. From his post 24 hours ago: All of this amounts to bad news for Labor in its quest for 76 seats, with Brisbane now out of the picture and the odds most likely leaning against them in Macnamara, which I for one thought they had in the bag earlier in the week, and which my results system is continuing to call as Labor retain due to its inability to think in three-party terms.. New developments cannot be at the expense of our existing neighborhoods. Please enable scripts and reload this page. But Im tipping Burns to hold in a Labor v Greens count. So the Liberals have no catching up to do to stay in the top two, because theyre already first by 50 votes. Geography Inner south of Melbourne. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining.). Visit types: Turnaround visits - bold ship name (T)Partial turnaround (>500 pax) - bold ship name bold (pT)Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. I will continue to support the implementationof the city's own water plant and will support measures to reducethe risk of flooding in our community. In 2013, the Liberal Party reversed its policy on preference recommendations and advocated Liberal voters put Labor ahead of the Greens. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. In early 2022, the Victorian Government asked the Department to convene the Container . On the Macnamara count, Kevin Bonhams blog of its post-election count says his model projects PVs of: Labor 30.3 Greens 30.2 Liberal 29.7. Holloway had won a shock victory over Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in the seat of Flinders in 1929, before moving to the much-safer Melbourne Ports in 1931. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Greens definitely over performed in Prahran. I support the use of all available tools, including fee-based programs that would be paid for by polluters, but could result in significant savings for our citizens, like septic system improvements, odor controland enhanced water testing. The electorate was created at the time of Australian Federation in 1901 and was one of the original 65 divisions contested at the first federal election. Steph Hodgins-May did so much better than I expected. East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. Subscribe today. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Because 500 votes separated the Greens from Labor, and in all seats covering Macnamara, the Greens had an increase in primary votes, 8% in Prahran, 4% in Albert Park, and even 1.1% in Caulfield with a teal running. ), meaning any 2CP combination is still possible. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. Bandt describes himself as a book nerd and live music fan and at the time of his election was completing a PhD in Law and Politics at Monash University. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. What they care about is what matters to me. In most remaining vote types, the Liberals are currently outpacing Labor by between 1-3% in 3CP terms (despite Labor getting a higher primary vote), and the Greens are currently outpacing Labor by between 5-8%. and moved to the safer seat of Melbourne Ports in 1931. . The Green margin versus the Liberal Party rises from 21.8% to 22.6%.There were Green two-candidate preferred majorities in all 32 polling places in 2019, its vote rising above 70% in 22 and 80% in 13. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. Crossing Hotham Street is where you notice an immediate difference. Labors primary votes in all three of these electorates went backwards which should set Red flags in Labor HQ. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. Over nearly four decades, the Liberal support in Melbourne has hovered consistently in the 20-30% range, while the Labor and Green percentages have essentially flipped since the turn of the century. A major activity centre like Glenhuntly Road shouldnt be a boundary because the traders on both sides of the road are a single community of interest. It was replaced by the division of Macnamara which had almost identical boundaries. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Rebuild of State Road 192/Hollywood Boulevard intersection, including Evans Road. Use tab to navigate through the menu items. At first glance that looks like Labor would outperform the Liberals right? Rachael Bassett andAlison Dietrich are competing for the District 4 seat. In Caulfield, the Liberal Party was far out ahead, while the Liberal Party narrowly outpolled Labor in Port Melbourne. At least the boundary change adding more Greens territory would significantly decrease the ALP v GRN margin. She is a single mother and has four adopted children, two of which are from overseas. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. As for the current results as they stand, the AEC has been conducting and publishing a 3CP count and the Liberals are in fact first: https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. And no matter what the result, considering the Greens are currently third on 32.93% and all the remaining votes should favour them, I think its safe to say all 3 candidates will finish between a minimum of 33.1% and a maximum of 33.6% when the 3CP count is complete. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. What I care about is the community of people. Gettin spicy https://www.aec.gov.au/news/results-3cp.htm. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . West Melbourne, a 10-square-mile enclave nestled between its larger neighbors of Melbourne and Palm Bay, moved to support its own water plant to meet the needs of the growing city. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. It might be close but hard to see. Melbourne Ports had been a tight three-way contest in 2016, Labor's Michael Danby staying narrowly ahead of the Greens to eventually win a narrow victory over the Liberals on Green preferences. Labor would have still won since they still hold Albert Park by a 11% margin compared to the Libs 2% margin in Caufield though there was a 2% swing to the Libs in both seats against expectations the Lib vote would further collapse in that area like in the federal election. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. It will make a massive difference in how the Albanese government is seen. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Labor won a large 70.2% majority of the two-party-preferred vote in St Kilda, 55% in Caulfield and 57.5% in Port Melbourne. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. The Division of Melbourne Ports was an Australian federal electoral division in the inner south-eastern suburbs of Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Incredible stuff! She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. (Melbourne local time. I project the following based on whats left to count: LIB 33.5% ALP Just over 33.3% GRN Just under 33.2%. Id be interested in seeing the final preference flows. The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. History Melbourne Ports was an original Federation electorate. 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). As our community continues its development, it is crucial to identify infrastructure and resources necessary to support responsible growth. Long post I know, but in short the Liberals are already ahead of Labor on 3CP terms, and if vote continue to break exactly as they have been, they grow their lead while the Greens continue to catch up. But Melbourne differs from other electorates in two ways. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. The Greens are only 495 votes behind Labor in the 3CP count. This section is an excerpt from Results of the 2022 Australian federal election in Victoria Melbourne. The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. What a fascinating race this has turned into. I dont agree, Pollbludger called this for Labor actually I just checked. The remaining are all absentee, provisional and Declaration pre polls. Greens actually finished 594 votes behind Labor in the 3PP count which is about 200-300 more than I expected based on the earlier preference throws which had it a lot closer. It also had a high proportion of atheists and agnostics, with 38.8% of residents answering "No Religion" in the 2016 census, compared to 30.1% nationwide. Current 3CP count: 1. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. Labor will be desperate to hang on to its own newly-acquired seats, and presumably also very keen to protect and help the Independents as well. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Not just passing legislation in the House if representatives but also the symbolism of legitimacy that Anthony Albanese won a majority in his own right. Subscribe today. Since Labor already needs the support of the Greens to pass anything through the Senate, it doesnt make a huge difference in practical terms whether they also need Greens (or Independent) support in the House or have a majority in their own right. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Port Melbourne Candidate jobs now available in Melbourne VIC. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. The event was moderated by Stephen Mayne. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. Rob McCathie ( Liberal Democrats) Ben Schultz ( Animal Justice) Steph Hodgins-May ( Greens) Jane Hickey ( United Australia) Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but it's unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. Wills ( ALP 8.5% v GRN) is the seat for former Labor Prime Minister Bob Hawke and runs north-west between Merri Creek and Moonee Ponds Creek from inner-city Brunswick to the Western Ring Road. It is absolutely ridiculous that the ABC and Pollbludger is being conservative on their calls. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. To date, I have been instrumental in working with our Tallahassee representatives to bring back $3 million-plus for water projects to Melbourne. Please note that ballot preparation procedures vary by state and between jurisdictions within states. Education:Bachelorof Science in criminal justice from Florida Gulf Coast University, Political/government/civic experience:Member of the Melbourne Citizens' Advisory Board, Website, Facebook, other social media pages/links: allred4d2.com; Facebook: ShawnAllred Middleton for Melbourne City Council. The city of more than 28,000. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. For the latest information, searchABC Emergency, For the latestweather warnings in the Northern Territory, search onABC Emergency. If Labour end up not winning Macnamara, it will be a case of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory. The electorate of Melbourne has existed since Federation and was held by Labor continuously from 1904 until the 2010 election. The second last exclusion (UAP) is what leapfrogged the Liberals from 3rd to 1st and eliminated the Greens. Infrastructure needs: Invest in, maintain and improve our infrastructure, while being mindful of residential, economic and environmental impact. Second, other electorates saw a drop in Green support and rise for Labor at the 2019 election where Green support rose further in Melbourne. This will not onlyprovide tax savings, it will allow for a more equitable taxation of the residents of West Melbourne. It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner. "It must be in a smart, resilient and low-impact manner., Occupation: Small-business owner and nonprofit executive director, Education: Doctorate of public administration (in-progress); master's in educational leadership; bachelor's in elementary education. The Liberals are still 3rd on the primary vote, so unless they can improve on absentees,postals,provisionals then they will remain 3rd. Labor candidate Josh Burns won Macnamara in 2019. Theres an estimated 6500 ballots left to count, and if they continue to break the same way they currently are, and Covid votes also favour the Greens, they will be on track to erase that deficit, while the strong preference flow to the Libs also keeps them ahead of Labor, dropping Labor to third place. ALP 30,499 3. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. These kinds of investments drive responsible growth, reduce traffic and support efficient response times for law enforcement and emergency services. 2018 State Election: A Meet the Candidates for the lower house seat of Albert Park was held at 6pm, on Tuesday, 30th October in the Boyd Community Hub. The only things saving Josh Burns here today are the cratering Liberal vote and, most importantly of all, the perfect little gerrymander with Higgins. West of Hotham, St Kilda East and Balaclava retain the same urban feeling that the eastern triangle of St Kilda (between the highway and Chapel) and Windsor have: Almost entirely a mix of 3-storey walkup blocks of flats and single fronted terraces, no nature strips, etc. Melbourne Ports covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. In Macnamara, the Liberal vote is consistently around 40%, and a Green victory hinges on the Greens passing Labor on first preferences, and then strong flows of Labor preferences putting the Green candidate ahead of the Liberal in the final count. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. The Green line plots the Green two-candidate preferred vote against Labor 2007-2013 and against the Liberal Party in 2016 and 2019. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. McCathie was born and bred in Melbourne and has a background in I.T. Currently [83.41% point] ALP lead Liberals by 4 420 and Greens by 3 873. It was notable for having one of Australia's larger Jewish populations, at 9.9%, much higher than the nationwide 0.4%. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. ), Time listed is at Fawkner Beacon- Time between the Heads and Fawkner Beacon - 3 hours- Time between Fawkner Beacon and berth - 1 hour, Time listed is at Point Richards- Time between the Heads and Point Richards - 3 hours- Time between Point Richards and berth - 2 hours, 2016 Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne). Contact Neale at 321-242-3638 or rneale@floridatoday.com. She taught in a variety of schools, both primary and secondary, and worked as an education consultant both here and in Japan. Stephen Mayne will be the moderator.
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